SETTLE IT
Open the app

MOST PEOPLE ARE SURE. FAR FEWER ARE RIGHT.

Settle It makes the difference impossible to argue with afterwards. Two people, two numbers, one date — then a receipt neither of you can edit.

Settle something →Play today’s ten

Free. No account needed to start one.

Today’s tenHead to headA SettleGuess the crowdYour ledgerLive forecastsScroll
78%

Leaning in, leaving yourself a door.

A RECEIPT NOBODY CAN EDIT.

On the date you both picked, this publishes itself and both of you are emailed. An example, at the size it arrives in a group chat.

SETTLE IT · No. 4KJ2PSETTLED 25 DEC 2026
Verdict

Marcus was 95% sure. Marcus was wrong.

PRIYARIGHT

It will not be live by Christmas.

70%
MARCUSWRONG

It ships before the end of the year. Easily.

95%
getsettleit.com/r/4kj2pPERMANENT · UNEDITABLE

SIX WAYS TO FIND OUT IF YOU ARE ANY GOOD AT THIS.

  • Every day

    Today’s ten

    Ten statements, true or false, and a confidence number on each. Sixty seconds, and at the end it tells you how often people at your number are actually right.

    See how it works →
  • Against a friend

    Head to head

    Send someone your ten. They face exactly the same questions, and it compares how well each of you read yourself — not who knew more.

    See how it works →
  • The point

    A Settle

    Two people, two positions, two confidence numbers, one date. On the day, the receipt publishes itself — permanently, publicly, whether you win or not.

    See how it works →
  • Read the room

    Guess the crowd

    Before your result, one more question: how will everyone else do today? A different skill from knowing your own mind.

    See how it works →
  • Over time

    Your ledger

    Every claim you resolve, scored — and your lifetime record against everyone you have argued with. A Brier score, a calibration curve, and who beat whom. Private.

    See how it works →
  • Nobody knows yet

    Forecast a live claim

    One real, unresolved Settle appears in the daily — if its author chose to let strangers forecast it. No answer key, because there is no answer yet.

    See how it works →
How it works
  1. 01

    Write what you think will happen

    Specific enough that it can only turn out true or false. Then say how sure you are, from 50 to 100.

  2. 02

    Send it to whoever disagrees

    They put their own number on it. Neither of you sees the other's confidence until both are locked.

  3. 03

    The date arrives and the receipt publishes itself

    Not when you feel like it, and not only when you win. Permanent, public, and neither of you can delete it.

FIND OUT IF YOUR CONFIDENCE MEANS ANYTHING.

Ten questions, sixty seconds. You say how sure you are on each one, and at the end it tells you how often people at that number are actually right. A new set every day.

Play today’s ten →

Install it. It opens like an app.

No store, no download. It lives on your home screen and opens straight into a blank claim.

Open this page on your phone to install it.